The Papal Conclave is set to begin on Tuesday, May 7, marking a historic moment following Pope Francis's passing.
As anticipation builds, betting sites have already placed Pietro Parolin as the early frontrunner for the next pope, ahead of Luis Antonio Tagle and Peter Turkson. In addition to the next Pope odds, bookies are now offering bets on the papal continent and the number of voting rounds.
Let's take a closer look at the current odds for betting on the next Pope.
The odds for the next Pope are 9/4 for Cardinal Pietro Parolin. He is considered the frontrunner to become the next Pope due to his strong diplomatic experience, extensive international network, and the sense of continuity he represents with Pope Francis's approach.
According to the next Pope odds in the betting markets, other popular cardinals include: Luis Antonio Tagle, Peter Turkson and Matteo Zuppi.
Top 10 odds for the next pope are listed below:
| Next Pope | Country | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pietro Parolin | Italy | 9/4 | 31% |
| Luis Antonio Tagle | Philippines | 3/1 | 25% |
| Peter Turkson | Ghana | 9/2 | 18% |
| Matteo Zuppi | Italy | 6/1 | 14% |
| Robert Sarah | Guinea | 6/1 | 14% |
| Pierbattista Pizzaballa | Italy | 9/1 | 10% |
| Peter Erdo | Hungary | 10/1 | 9% |
| Cristobal Lopez Romero | Morocco | 25/1 | 4% |
| Kevin Farrell | USA | 33/1 | 3% |
| Mykola Bychok | Ukraine | 50/1 | 2% |
Odds at LiveScore Bet - updated 18 May 2025
| Sign up offer | £30 free bet |
|---|---|
| Bonus code: | |
| Minimum deposit for bonus | £10 |
| Extra sign up offer info | |
|---|---|
| Wagering requirements | 1x (D) |
| Minimum odds to claim bonus | 1.5 |
| Maximum payout with free bet | - |
| Bonus winnings paid in cash | Yes |
| Basic information | |
|---|---|
| Launch date | 07/2024 |
| Minimum deposit | £5 |
| Platform | Kambi |
| Return to player % | 93% |
| Live casino | Yes |
| Bingo | No |
The betting odds for the next Pope strongly suggest that he will once again come from Europe. Historically, 217 of the 266 Popes have been European, and 40% of the cardinals who will make the decision are also European, which gives a home-field advantage.
However, Asia, Africa, and Latin America are major growth areas for the Catholic Church, so choosing a Pope from one of these regions could be a smart move.
Odds by continent for the next Pope are listed below:
| Continent | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Europe | 8/13 | 62% |
| Africa | 11/4 | 27% |
| Asia | 4/1 | 20% |
| North America | 11/1 | 8% |
| South America | 20/1 | 5% |
| Osenia | 40/1 | 2% |
Odds at 10Bet - updated 18 May 2025
| Sign up offer | 100%/£50 |
|---|---|
| Bonus code: | SPORT |
| Minimum deposit for bonus | £10 |
| Extra sign up offer info | |
|---|---|
| Wagering requirements | 8x (D+B) |
| Minimum odds to claim bonus | - |
| Maximum payout | - |
| Basic information | |
|---|---|
| Launch date | 06/2003 |
| Minimum deposit | £10 |
| Platform | Independent / No platform |
| Return to player % | 94% |
| Live casino | Yes |
| Bingo | No |
The election of the Pope takes place in a secret conclave, where the cardinals vote for the new pontiff. A two-thirds majority is required for a candidate to be chosen. Although the length of the conclave can vary, history has shown that there are typically at least four rounds of voting. The last three elections took five, four, and eight rounds.
The odds for how many ballot rounds it will take to elect the next Pope are listed in the table below:
| Number of Rounds | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | 11/8 | 42% |
| 7-8 | 2/1 | 33% |
| 3-4 | 11/4 | 27% |
| 9-10 | 11/2 | 15% |
| 11 or more | 10/1 | 9% |
| 1-2 | 25/1 | 4% |
Odds at BoyleSports - updated 18 May 2025
| Sign up offer | £20 free bet + £10 casino bonus |
|---|---|
| Bonus code: | |
| Minimum deposit for bonus | £10 |
| Extra sign up offer info | |
|---|---|
| Wagering requirements | 1x (D) |
| Minimum odds to claim bonus | 2 |
| Bonus winnings paid in cash | Yes |
| Basic information | |
|---|---|
| Launch date | 01/1982 |
| Minimum deposit | £5 |
| Platform | Independent / No platform |
| Return to player % | 93% |
| Live casino | Yes |
| Bingo | Yes |
